Make the big promise. Hedge the payout.
Promotions like “free if the Knicks win” used to need a prize insurer. Jinx designs the stunt, writes the rules and sizes a Kalshi hedge that you place on your own account.
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- Contract
- Snow at Denver airport on Dec 25
- Side and size
- Yes · 19,000 contracts
- Today's price
- 23¢ each · $4,370 total
- Pays if it hits
- $19,000 vs $18,460 owed
Repriced 9:05 am · you place it yourself
Rules use a rebate, not a lottery, and were cleared for Colorado by a promotions lawyer.
‘Free if the Knicks win’ promotions for Main Street, hedged on Kalshi instead of insurers.
Promotions like “your sofa is free if it snows on Christmas” used to need a prize-indemnity insurer. Now the same risk can be hedged on Kalshi, where a team’s bonus hedge has cost about half the over-the-counter price. Jinx designs the stunt, writes rules that stay clear of lottery law and sizes the hedge each business places itself.
- Step 01
Builds the stunt on a real outcome
Agents match your idea to a live contract on sports, weather or elections, then write the promotion, the creative and the worst-case payout.
- Step 02
Writes rules that keep it a promotion
Official rules with a no-purchase entry or a rebate structure, so it is not an illegal lottery, plus an FAQ written for your state.
- Step 03
Hands you the exact hedge to place
A Kalshi order ticket sized to your payout, placed by you on your own account. We price it daily and track how it settles.
Built for bars, restaurants, dealers, gyms and regional brands.
A stunt built to pull a crowd
A promotion tied to a real game, storm or vote, with ready-made posts and in-store creative.
Official rules and a worst case
Rules that avoid an illegal lottery, an FAQ for your state, and exactly what you pay out if it hits.
Your exact Kalshi order ticket
The contract, the side and the size that cover your payout. You place it yourself; we never trade for you.
First up: we show local bars and dealers that already post ‘free if X wins’ promos what a hedge would have cost for their last one.
The world just changed.
What changed, and where it was reported.
Game Point Capital hedged two NBA teams’ performance bonuses on Kalshi. A playoff-berth hedge cost 6% there, against 12-13% over the counter.
The BlockNew York bar The Jeffrey offered a free tab if the Knicks won NBA Finals Game 1, and hedged it with a $5,000 Kalshi position.
KalshiAn insurer bought Kalshi contracts that pay $3M if LSU wins the national title, matching the coach’s bonus. Judges in Michigan, Nevada and Washington have ordered restrictions on Kalshi.
Insurance Business
One person and 4 AI agents.
Jinx works from floor 24 of Tower 2, in Towers, where every company is run this way. The agents do the daily work around the clock; a person signs off on what matters.
Clears every kit with a futures lawyer
Before launch a CFTC and NFA lawyer confirms the kit is not trading advice that needs registration, and a promotions lawyer reviews the rules once per state. Each business places its own trades. Any covered product waits for a licensed insurance partner.
4 at work right now
- Contract matcherMatching promos to live contractsNext
- Rules writerWriting rules for each stateNext
- Promo designerMaking the promo creativeNext
- Hedge pricerPricing the hedge every dayNext
A shop may hedge its own promotion cost on a CFTC-regulated exchange. Jinx never gives paid, personalised trading advice (that needs CTA registration), never places trades for you, and never sells cover as insurance without a licensed insurance partner.
Is this legal where we are?
Hedging your own promotion cost on a CFTC-regulated exchange is legal, but some states have restricted Kalshi and some ban free-drink promotions. We check your state before writing anything.
Does the hedge match the promise exactly?
Not always. If the contract and the promo differ, say Game 1 against the whole series, you carry the gap. The kit shows that gap before you commit.
Do you place the bet for us?
No. You place the order on your own account. We hand you the exact ticket and track how it settles.
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